Bank of Canada Raises the Overnight Rate to 2.5%, Says More May Be Needed   Today, the Bank of Canada raised the overnight rate by 25 bps to 2.5%, joining the six other G-10 central banks that have tightened monetary policy to combat inflation. The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate at its last […]

Canadian CPI Inflation Edges Up to 3.1% in September, While Core Inflation Slowed Further Below Its 2% Target The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.1% year over year in September, up from 3.0% in August. Higher gasoline prices led the acceleration in September (+27.8%) compared with August (+22.8%). Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 2.2%, after increasing 2.4% in […]

The Very Weak September Jobs Report For Canada Will Give the BoC Second Thoughts About Hiking Rates Employment fell in September, continuing a stream of lacklustre labour force surveys. Canadian jobs fell by 68,300, wiping out all of this year’s job gains as the trade war with the U.S. drags on and the Iran war […]

Weak August Jobs Report In Canada Takes BoC Tightening Off The Table–The Opposite Is Likely For Federal Reserve  Employment in Canada fell by 41,700 in August, reversing some of the labour market momentum seen in recent months as the manufacturing sector posted the only significant increase. The employment rate fell 0.1 percentage points to 60.8%. The […]

Bank of Canada Holds Policy Rate Steady Again, As Expected Today, the Bank of Canada once again held the policy rate at 2.25%, the level it has held since October 2025. This is the bottom of the Bank’s estimate of the neutral overnight rate, where monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary. According to the […]

Housing Market  Momentum Persists in June, and the Bank of Canada Held Rates Steady Canada’s housing market gained meaningful momentum in May and June. The number of home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems edged up a further 0.5% on a month-over-month basis in June 2026. This builds on the 5.5% jump recorded in May and […]

Canadian Inflation Rose to 3.2% in May as Core Inflation Remained Subdued Higher gasoline prices pushed Canadian inflation to a more than two-year high, while underlying inflation pressures showed little sign of accelerating, with core measures broadly unchanged and price gains less broad-based. Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.2% in May, Statistics Canada reported […]

Bank of Canada Holds Policy Rate Steady Today, the Bank of Canada once again held the policy rate at 2.25%. This is the bottom of the Bank’s estimate of the neutral overnight rate, where monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary. With inflation hovering at 2.8% and core inflation falling to 2.0% (as of April […]

Canada’s Economy Edges Into A Technical Recession For the First Time Since 2020 Statistics Canada reported this morning that the Canadian economy contracted slightly, by 0.1%, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in the first quarter (Q1) of 2026. That follows a 1% contraction in the fourth quarter, a downward revision from the previously reported 0.6% […]

Weak Jobs Report in April drives Unemployment Rate Up to 6.9% Employment in Canada edged down by 17,700 in April, following a 14,000 gain in the prior month, missing the consensus forecast for a 15,000 increase. On a year-over-year basis, employment in April was up by 67,000 (+0.3%), but recorded a net decline of 112,000 (-0.5%) over the first […]