Bank of Canada Lowers Policy Rate to 2.5% Today, the Bank of Canada lowered the overnight policy rate by 25 bps to 2.5% as was widely expected. Following yesterday’s better-than-expected inflation report, the Bank believes that underlying inflation was 2.5% year-over-year. Through the recent period of tariff turmoil, the Governing Council has closely monitored the […]

Canadian Inflation More Muted Than Expected, Giving the Green Light for BoC Easing Tomorrow The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.9% on a year-over-year basis in August, up from a 1.7% increase in July. Gasoline prices fell to a lesser extent year over year in August (-12.7%) compared to July (-16.1%), resulting in faster growth in headline […]

View this email in your browser Canadian Home Sales Post Best August In Four Years Today’s release of the August housing data by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) showed good news on the housing front. The number of home sales recorded through Canadian MLS® Systems increased by 1.1% on a month-over-month basis in August 2025. […]

Weak August Jobs Report in Canada Bodes Well for a BoC Rate Cut Today’s Labour Force Survey for August was weaker than expected, indicating an excess supply in the labour market and the economy. Employment fell by 66,000 (-0.3%) in August, extending the decline recorded in July (-41,000; -0.2%). The employment decrease in August was mainly due to a […]

Today’s CPI Report Shows Headline Inflation Cooling, But Core Inflation Remains Troubling Canadian consumer prices decelerated to 1.7% y/y in July, a bit better than expected and down two ticks from June’s reading. Gasoline prices led the slowdown in the all-items CPI, falling 16.1% year over year in July, following a 13.4% decline in June. […]

View this email in your browser Canadian Homebuyers Return in July, Posting the Fourth Consecutive Sales Gain Today’s release of the July housing data by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) showed good news on the housing front. Following a disappointing spring selling season, National home sales were up 3.8% in July from the month […]

Today’s Report Shows Inflation Remains a Concern, Forestalling BoC Action Canadian consumer prices accelerated for the first time in four months in June, and underlying price pressures firmed, likely keeping the central bank from cutting interest rates later this month. The annual inflation rate in Canada rose to 1.9% in June from 1.7% in May, aligning […]

Labour Market Weakness Continued in May, Raising the Prospects of a Rate Cut at The Next BoC Meeting Today’s Labour Force Survey for March was weaker than expected. Employment decreased by 33,000 (-0.2%) in March, the first decrease since January 2022. The decline in March followed little change in February and three consecutive months of growth in November, December […]